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KEYSTONE. - Minerals Data Observatory

Guide

How to use Mineral export concentration

In five minutes: see which country each mineral depends on, read the concentration index and how it has changed since 2012.

Open the tool

1

What it is for

The tool shows, for 25 minerals, how far world exports depend on a single country or a few, and how that has changed since 2012. Use it to assess the risk of relying on one supplier, to prepare a sourcing or investment strategy and to follow the minerals on the EU list.

Questions it answers:

  • Which minerals depend most on a single exporting country?
  • Has the dependence of natural graphite on China grown or shrunk since 2012?
  • How many countries make 80% of a mineral's world exports?

2

Step by step

Illustrative example — invented figures
Year2024 ▾

Optional

Mineral— all, as a table — ▾CategoryAll ▾EU listAll minerals ▾
Export PDF
The tool's selectors. The numbers match the steps below.
  1. YearBy default, the latest complete year. The most recent year is marked provisional: some countries have not reported it yet.
  2. Mineral (optional)Leave «all» to see the table of the 25 minerals, or choose one to see it in depth. You can also click a mineral's name in the table.
  3. Category and EU list (optional)To see only metal ores, industrial minerals… or only the minerals on the EU's strategic or critical raw materials list.
  4. The result updates by itselfWhen you change a selector, the result changes at once — there is no button. The page address keeps your choices: you can bookmark it or share it with your team.
  5. Export as PDFThe «Export PDF» button below the selectors downloads the result on screen as a KEYSTONE. report: the choices you made, the tables and the reading notes. Every page carries your name and licence ID. Included in the Data and Professional plans.

3

How to read the result

Illustrative example — invented figures
MineralLargest exporterShare of the largestTop 3HHI indexLargest exporter's share, 2012–2024
Mineral AEU strategicCountry P72.0%91.5%5,410 high
Mineral BEU criticalCountry Q48.3%70.2%2,760 high
Mineral CCountry R31.0%62.4%1,650 moderate
Mineral DCountry S14.2%35.0%690 low
The table of all minerals, from the most to the least concentrated.
  1. MineralTagged «EU strategic» or «EU critical» when it is in Regulation (EU) 2024/1252. An asterisk means the customs code covers more than the material in the regulation (e.g. battery-grade graphite).
  2. Largest exporterThe country that exported most of that mineral in the chosen year.
  3. Share of the largestThe part of world exports coming from that country. For EU strategic minerals, a tick marks 65%: the regulation's benchmark for the EU's supply.
  4. HHI indexMeasures the concentration of the whole market, not just the leader: the sum of the squared shares, from 0 to 10,000. Below 1,500 concentration is low, 1,500–2,500 moderate, above 2,500 high.
  5. TrendThe largest exporter's share year by year since 2012: a rising line is a growing dependence.
Illustrative example — invented figures

Mineral A EU strategic

Largest exporter

72.0%

Country P

Top 3

91.5%

HHI index

5,410

high concentration

Countries for 80 %

2

Ten largest exporters in 2024
#CountryShare 2024Share 2012Change since 2012 (p.p.)
1Country P72.0%41.5%+30.5
2Country Q12.3%22.0%−9.7
3Country R7.2%9.1%−1.9
4Country S3.1%—new
One mineral in depth.
  1. Largest exporterIts share and the country's name.
  2. Top 3The share of the three largest together.
  3. HHI indexWith its band: low, moderate or high.
  4. Countries for 80%How many exporters together make 80% of the total: the fewer, the more concentrated.
  5. Ten largest exportersEach one's share in the chosen year and in 2012, and the change in percentage points. «new» means the country was not among the listed exporters in 2012.

4

Example: do we depend on a single country?

A company buys Mineral A, an EU strategic raw material, and wants to know whether it depends on a single supplier.

  • Country P exports 72.0% of the world total, against 41.5% in 2012: 30.5 percentage points more. Dependence has nearly doubled in a decade.
  • The three largest make 91.5% and two countries are enough to reach 80%. The HHI is 5,410: high concentration.
  • Country Q, the second, fell from 22.0% to 12.3% (−9.7 p.p.): the alternative to Country P is losing weight.
  • Country P's share is above the 65% tick: for a strategic mineral, a signal to watch — bearing in mind that the tool measures world exports of ore, not the EU's supply.

Use concentration to spot risks and ask the right questions: are there alternative suppliers? Is the dominant country gaining or losing weight? Then go deeper in the world minerals dashboard and the Critical Minerals Outlook publications.

5

Things to watch

  • Exports, not production. A country that processes its ore before exporting (like China in tungsten) weighs little here, even as a large producer.
  • Listed largest exporters. Shares are computed over the largest exporters of each customs code and year (50 per code), not over every country in the world.
  • Provisional year. The most recent year is not complete yet: concentration may change when the other countries report.
  • EU list. The 65% benchmark concerns the EU's supply of strategic materials, not world exports: here it is a reference only.
  • Broad codes. An asterisk on the EU tag means the customs code covers more than the material named in the regulation.

6

Frequently asked questions

Which minerals are included?
25 minerals with their own customs code: metal ores (copper, nickel, bauxite, tungsten…), industrial minerals (graphite, fluorspar, borates, phosphates, feldspar…) and others.
Why is lithium not there?
Lithium ore has no customs code of its own: it is mixed with other minerals in a catch-all code. Lithium is covered by the Critical Minerals Outlook publications.
Who can see the figures?
Subscribers to the Data and Professional plans. Without a plan, the tool shows the list of minerals but not the shares, the indices or the order.
When is the data updated?
Automatically, whenever the world minerals dashboard is updated with new UN Comtrade data.

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