Canada's natural stone market in 2027: what matters

For a stone exporter, Canada in 2027 comes down to three things: the demand is there, EU origin has a price edge, and the building rules have become stricter. And several of the large projects close their stone specification within the next few months.

1. The demand is there

• +6.1%

  natural stone imports in 2025

• 341

  hotel projects in the pipeline

• +30%

  civil construction in 2026

Canada imported USD 229 million of natural stone in 2025, 6.1% more than in 2024 (USD 216 million; 2025 is still provisional).

• 2021260.7
• 2022267.4
• 2023220.8
• 2024216.0
• 2025229.2

Behind it, our Canada studies count 341 hotel projects in the pipeline and civil construction growing about 30% in 2026.

2. The price edge of EU origin

Import duty on worked granite (HS 6802.93)

0%

EU origin, under CETA

6.5%

Without preference (MFN)

On the same project, an EU-origin stone enters Canada with a duty advantage of 6.5 points over a competitor without a trade agreement.

3. The rules to pass

• NBC 2025, the new National Building Code;
• CAN/ULC-S134, the fire test for façades;
• EPDs (environmental product declarations) and LEED v5, increasingly asked for on public and certified jobs.

A stone that cannot document these will not be specified, whatever its price.

Where the stone goes: 20 projects, CAD 38 billion

• 20

  projects where stone can still make the difference

• CAD 38 bn

  their combined value

• 7

  specify stone between Q4 2026 and Q1 2027

Airports, hospitals, transit, waterfronts and mixed-use districts, from Vancouver, Calgary and Edmonton to Toronto, Ottawa, Montréal, Québec and Halifax. In our project sheets, 7 projects specify stone between Q4 2026 and Q1 2027 and 5 more in 2027–2028. The window for being on the shortlist is short.

Import figures: UN Comtrade (Canada's reported imports, HS 2514–2516 and 6801–6803). Market and project figures: KEYSTONE. Canada studies 2026–2030.